وبلاگ

You are currently viewing روش Poisson Distribution : پیشبینی تعداد گل

روش Poisson Distribution : پیشبینی تعداد گل

روش Poisson Distribution مدلی است بر مبنای اطلاعات اماری که به شما کمک میکنه به متدی قابل اتکا برای پیش بینی تعداد گل در بازی ها دست پیدا کنید که میتونه در شرطبندی مورد استفاده قرار بگیره ، در این مقاله بهتون اموزش میدم چطور توسط این روش تعداد گل در بازی ها رو پیش بینی کنید به همراه روش میانبر که در زمان کم میتونید یک بازی رو با این روش انالیز کنید

🔹 این روش و نامش ریشه ای فرانسوی داره که توسط ریاضی دان فرانسوی دنیس سیمون ارائه شد و اگر بخوایم ترجمش کنیم به زبان ساده میشه ، میانگین احتمالات در متغیر ها ، خب اصلا به اینکه چه معنی میده کاری نداریم و به دردمون هم نمیخوره ، پس بریم سراغ توضیحش و نحوه استفاده ازش

✅ محاسبه احتمالات گل در مسابقه :

🔻 قبل از اینکه ما بتونیم این روش رو به کار بگیریم باید میانگین تعداد گل های هر یک از تیم ها رو مشخص کنیم ، محاسبه میانگین گل های هر تیم رو میشه با مشخص کردن قدرت هجومی و دفاعی اون تیم ها به دست اورد

🔴 نکته مهم : دقت داشته باشید داده ی شما نه باید خیلی قدیمی باشه که کاربرد نداشته باشه و نه باید خیلی جدید باشه ، مثلا اگر در فصل ۲۰۱۷-۲۰۱۸ باشیم باید داده هامون شامل بازی های فصل قبل باشه ، جلوتر متوجه میشید میتونید از سایت scorepin امار لیگ ها و گل ها رو پیدا کنید

چگونه قدرت هجومی یک تیم رو محاسبه کنیم ؟

✔️ در قدم اول باید میانگین تعداد گل های هر تیم رو در حالت میزبان و مهمان فصل قبل مشخص کنیم

خب این خیلی ساده هست :

➖تعداد گل های زده میزبان در خانه تقسیم در تعداد بازی های خانگی
➖تعداد گل های زده مهمان در خارج از خانه تقسیم بر تعداد بازی های خارج از خانه

🔍 در فصل ۲۰۱۵-۲۰۱۶ لیگ جزیره میزبان ها ۵۶۷ گل در ۳۸۰ بازی زدن و مهمان ها ۴۵۹ گل در ۳۸۰ بازی زدن که میشه میزبان ها میانگین در هر بازی ۱٫۴۹۲ گل به ثمر رسوندن و مهمان ها در هر بازی ۱٫۲۰۷ گل به ثمر رسوندن

میانگین تعداد گل میزبان ها ۱٫۴۹۲
میانگین تعداد گل مهمان ها ۱٫۲۰۷

🔑 نسبت گل تیم ها به گل کل لیگ به ما قدرت تهاجمی رو میده

❓ چگونه قدرت دفاعی تیم ها رو محاسبه کنیم ؟؟

🔸 ما نیاز داریم تا تعداد گل های خورده تیم ها رو هم محاسبه کنیم ، اما اینجا دیگه کار سختی در پیش نداریم نتایج دقیقا بر عکس نتایج بالا یعنی قدرت حمله هست یعنی :

➖میانگین تعداد گل خورده میزبان ها ۱٫۲۰۷
➖ میانگین تعداد گل خورده مهمان ها ۱٫۴۹۲

خب حالا چرا ما کل لیگ رو محاسبه کردیم ؟

🔑چون برای محاسبه قدرت تهاجمی مثلا میزبان ، باید میانگین گل های زده ی تیم میزبان رو تقسیم بر میانگین تعداد گل های زده کل تیم های میزبان در لیگ کنیم

فرض کنید بازی تاتنهام و اورتون در فصل ۲۰۱۶-۲۰۱۷ رو میخوایم محاسبه کنیم

قبلا گفتیم داده های ما باید از فصل قبل گرفته بشه یعنی ۲۰۱۵ به ۲۰۱۶

پیش بینی تعداد گل های تاتنهام در این بازی

🔍 تانهام در فصل ۲۰۱۵-۲۰۱۶ در مجموع ۱۹ بازی در خونه انجام داد و ۳۹ گل زد پس ۳۹ تقسیم بر ۱۹ میشه ۱٫۸۴۲ برابر با میانگین گل زده تاتنهام در خانه

حالا برای اینکه قدرت تهاجمی تاتنهام رو در حالت میزبان حساب کنیم

۱٫۸۴۲ رو تقسیم بر ۱٫۴۹۲ میکنیم ( تعداد گل تیم های میزبان در کل لیگ ) که نتیجه میشه ۱٫۲۳

این از قدرت هجومی تیم تاتنهام

🔍 حالا باید قدرت دفاعی تیم مهمان یعنی اورتون رو محاسبه کنیم

اورتون در ۱۹ بازی خارج از خونه خودش ۲۵ گل دریافت کرد که میشه میانگین ۱٫۳۱۵ گل در هر بازی خارج از خونش

برای محاسبه قدرت دفاعی اورتون ۱٫۳۱۵ تقسیم بر ۱٫۴۹۲ ( تعداد گل های خورده تیم های مهمان در کل لیگ ) که میشه ۰٫۸۸۱

قدم نهایی در فرمول زیر هست که به ما میگه تاتنهام چند گل در این بازی میزنه

قدرت حمله تاتنهام * قدرت دفاع اورتون * میانگین گل های زده میزبان ها در کل لیگ

۱٫۲۳۵ * ۰٫۸۸۱ * ۱٫۴۹۲ = ۱٫۶۲۳

پیش بینی گل های اورتون

قدرت حمله اورتون :

تعداد گل هایی اورتون در خارج از خانه تقسیم بر تعداد گل های کل تیم ها در خارج از خانه

( ۲۴/۱۹ ) / ( ۴۵۹ / ۳۸۰ ) = ۱٫۰۴۶

قدرت دفاع تاتنهام :

تعداد گل های خورده تاتنهام در خانه تقسیم بر تعداد کل گل های دریافت شده توسط میزبان ها

تاتنهام ۱۵ گل در ۱۹ بازی خانگی خودش دریافت کرد پس :

( ۱۵/۱۹ ) / ( ۴۵۹ / ۳۸۲ ) = ۰٫۶۵۳

حالا تعداد گل های اورتون رو باید مثل تاتنهام حساب کنیم

قدرت حمله اورتون * قدرت دفاع تاتنهام * میانگین کل گل های زده مهمان ها در لیگ

۱٫۰۴۶ * ۰٫۶۵۳ * ۱٫۲۰۷ = ۰۸۲۴

💎 این روش میتونه برای ما چندین نتیجه در بازی رو پیش بینی کنه ، البته که نمیشه هیچ بازی با نتیجه ۱٫۶۲۳ به ۰٫۸۲۴ به پایان برسه ، این اعداد در یک فرمول پیچیده قرار میگیرن و به ما احتمالات رو میدن ، که مثلا احتمال گل نزدن تاتنهام در این بازی چقدر هست ؟؟ احتمال ۱ گل زدنش چقدر هست و …..
خب خوشبختانه شما نیاز نیست هر عدد رو در فرمول قرار بدین تا احتمالات رو به دست بیارین کافیه به این سایت مراجعه کنید

🔑در صفحه بار شده ۲ تا کادر میبینید در کادر بالایی تعداد گل مورد نظرتون برای تیم مورد نظرتون رو وارد میکنید و در کادر پایین عددی که قبلا به دست اوردیم ، یعنی تعداد گل های تاتنهام در بازی ۱٫۶۲۳

🔍 فرمول به ما گفت تاتنهام در این بازی ۱٫۶۲۳ گل میزنه ، ما در کادر بالا ۰ رو وارد میکنیم در کادر پایین ۱٫۶۲۳ و گزینه calculate رو میزنیم ، عددی که در مرحله بعدی میبینیم احتمال ۰ گل زدن تاتنهام در این بازی هست معادل ۰٫۱۹۷۳ که میشه همون ۱۹٫۷۳%

یعنی احتمال اینکه تاتنهام در این بازی گلی نزنه هست ۱۹٫۷۳%

فقط کافیه در مراحل بعدی جای ۰ رو با ۱ عوض کنیم ، بعدش درصد احتمال ۱ گل زدن تاتنهام در این بازی محاسبه میشه به همین راحتی

✔️ خب برای اینکه بهتر متوجه بشید من تا ۵ گل رو محاسبه کردم با همین مثالی که زدم

احتمالات گل تاتنهام :

۰ گل ۱۹٫۷۳%
۱ گل ۳۲٫۰۲%
۲ گل ۲۵٫۹۹%
۳ گل ۱۴٫۰۶%
۴ گل ۵٫۰۷%
۵ گل ۱٫۸۵%

احتمالات گل اورتون

۰ گل ۴۳٫۸۶%
۱ گل ۳۶٫۱۴%
۲ گل ۱۴٫۸۹%
۳ گل ۴٫۰۹%
۴ گل ۰٫۸۴%
۵ گل ۰٫۱۴%

🔸مثال بالا به ما نشون میده احتمال گل نزدن تاتنهام ۱۹٫۷۳% هست اما شانس ۱ گل زدنش ۳۲٫۰۲% و ۲ گل زدنش ۲۵٫۹۹% از طرف دیگه احتمال گل نزدن اورتون هست ۴۳٫۸۶% و یک گل زدنش ۳۶٫۱۴% و ۲ گلش هم ۱۴٫۹۸% و گل های بیشتر هم که درصدش بسیار ضعیف هست

🔹 خب این احتمالات به ما میگه محتمل ترین نتیجه از لحاظ ریاضی ۱-۰ برد تاتنهام هست ، حالا میخوایم بدونیم احتمال ۱-۰ شدن بازی چقد هست کافیه درصد ۱ گل زدن تاتنهام ضرب در درصد گل نزدن اورتون کنیم
( ۰٫۳۲ * ۰٫۴۱ ) = ۰٫۱۴۰۴

خب ۱۴٫۰٫۴% احتمالش هست که بازی با نتیجه دقیق ۱-۰ به تفع تاتنهام تموم بشه

یه همین شکل میتونید بقیه نتایج احتمالی رو هم محاسبه کنید

Tags: , , , , ,

این پست دارای 343 نظر است

  20. Sandy Ince 26 نوامبر 2021

    Right away I am ready to do my breakfast, after having my breakfast coming yet again to read other news.|

  21. Mila Charbonnet 27 نوامبر 2021

    You’re so cool! I don’t think I’ve read anything like this before. So good to discover someone with a few original thoughts on this topic. Really.. many thanks for starting this up. This web site is something that is needed on the web, someone with a bit of originality!|

  22. Jose Rockwell 28 نوامبر 2021

    I am genuinely thankful to the holder of this site who has shared this great piece of writing at here.|

  23. Michel Cottengim 7 دسامبر 2021

    Hello there! Would you mind if I share your blog with my facebook group? There’s a lot of people that I think would really appreciate your content. Please let me know. Many thanks|

  24. Alyssa Soun 7 دسامبر 2021

    I could not resist commenting. Well written!|

  25. Nicky Leese 13 دسامبر 2021

    Hello There. I discovered your weblog the usage of msn. That is an extremely neatly written article. I’ll be sure to bookmark it and return to read more of your helpful info. Thank you for the post. I’ll definitely comeback.|

  26. Freida Muecke 14 دسامبر 2021

    I was recommended this website by my cousin. I’m not sure whether this post is written by him as no one else know such detailed about my difficulty. You’re wonderful! Thanks!|

  27. Chi Schoepflin 15 دسامبر 2021

    Good answers in return of this question with firm arguments and telling everything regarding that.|

  28. Brad Thoroughman 18 دسامبر 2021

    Wow, this article is fastidious, my younger sister is analyzing these things, therefore I am going to convey her.|

  29. Richard Thorsted 19 دسامبر 2021

    Hello, i think that i saw you visited my web site so i came to “return the favor”.I am trying to find things to improve my website!I suppose its ok to use a few of your ideas!!|

  30. Sabra Mullendore 21 دسامبر 2021

    Good day! This is my first visit to your blog! We are a team of volunteers and starting a new initiative in a community in the same niche. Your blog provided us useful information to work on. You have done a outstanding job!|

  31. Vincenzo Halvorson 22 دسامبر 2021

    Thanks for finally talking about > blog_title < Liked it!|

  32. Len Threet 23 دسامبر 2021

    Hi there to every body, it’s my first pay a quick visit of this weblog; this blog carries amazing and really fine material in support of readers.|

  33. Seymour Gin 24 دسامبر 2021

    Hello There. I found your blog using msn. This is an extremely well written article. I’ll be sure to bookmark it and come back to read more of your useful info. Thanks for the post. I’ll certainly comeback.|

  34. Johnny Keay 25 دسامبر 2021

    I really love your site.. Great colors & theme. Did you develop this website yourself? Please reply back as I’m hoping to create my own personal blog and would love to find out where you got this from or just what the theme is named. Thanks!|

  35. Percy Saxena 25 دسامبر 2021

    This page definitely has all of the information I wanted concerning this subject and didn’t know who to ask. |

  36. Ingeborg Womer 26 دسامبر 2021

    What’s Going down i am new to this, I stumbled upon this I’ve found It absolutely helpful and it has aided me out loads. I am hoping to give a contribution & assist other users like its helped me. Good job.|

  37. Amos Fender 26 دسامبر 2021

    Hey there, You’ve done a great job. I will definitely digg it and personally suggest to my friends. I’m sure they’ll be benefited from this site.|

  38. Jamey Khamvongsa 26 دسامبر 2021

    It’s in reality a great and useful piece of info. I am satisfied that you just shared this helpful info with us. Please keep us up to date like this. Thank you for sharing.|

  39. Shirley Basile 27 دسامبر 2021

    Good article! We are linking to this great post on our website. Keep up the great writing.|

  40. Orville Dearinger 29 دسامبر 2021

    Excellent post. I used to be checking constantly this blog and I am inspired! Very helpful info specially the final section 🙂 I care for such information much. I was seeking this particular information for a long time. Thank you and good luck. |

  106. slot terpercaya 6 فوریه 2022

    I for all time emailed this weblog post page to all my contacts, because
    if like to read it next my friends will too.

  209. MontephirE 3 مه 2022

    [url=http://cheapdrugs.store/#]buying ed pills online[/url]

  210. MontephirE 3 مه 2022

    [url=http://cheapdrugs.store/#]cheap ed drugs[/url]

  211. Des 5 مه 2022

    Commercial auto insurance is usually required for business vehicles. It covers third-party medical bills and property damage in an accident, along with vehicle damage. Assure Great Services Housekeeping includes housecleaning, that is, disposing of rubbish, cleaning dirty surfaces, dusting, and vacuuming. It may also involve some outdoor chores, such as removing leaves from rain gutters, washing windows, and sweeping doormats. The term housecleaning is often used also figuratively in politics and business, for the removal of unwanted personnel, methods, or policies in an effort at reform or improvement. Office suites, home offices, creative spaces, and more in New Orleans Absolutely! We accept Mastercard, Visa, and Discover, and offer automatic billing if desired. For more information, feel free to contact us! http://collinlevl431986.develop-blog.com/14382630/exterior-home-cleaning-services You understand that business’ floors should be clean and dry, but how do you clean commercial floors? Here’s a look at some of the different flooring types and what they require. COIT’s deep concrete cleaning process removes the toughest dirt safely and effectively. Your floors will be rejuvenated when professionally maintained. CONCRETE CLEANING INSIDE-OUT (PART ONE) Your facility needs to stay clean, which means you need machines that can lift even the most hardened stains from your concrete floors. Revitalise your workplace when you contact Lavorwash and order your next steam cleaners from one of our well-informed team members. We’ll be pleased to guide you towards the perfect machine for your company’s needs or answer your questions in detail so that you can make the right decision for yourself.

  215. Des 7 مه 2022

    Cleaning your carpets on a regular basis is essential to the long life of the carpet and Precision Carpet and Upholstery Care is the company to go with if they are in your area. These guys not only do a thorough deep cleaning of your carpets they can make your sofa or chairs look like new again. Give them a call now! Cleaning your carpets on a regular basis is essential to the long life of the carpet and Precision Carpet and Upholstery Care is the company to go with if they are in your area. These guys not only do a thorough deep cleaning of your carpets they can make your sofa or chairs look like new again. Give them a call now! Schedule Service Today We can clean area rugs of all sorts in your home without damaging the wood or tile below it. Finally, our sanitation service will kill all the germs and bacteria living in your home or business. If you are looking for a fair-priced, effective, and deep carpet cleaning then look no further than Karma Carpet Cleaning. https://aboutdruidhillshoa.com/community/profile/johnathangowing/ Carpet Cleaning Pennington New Jersey When you hire the professional at our Carpet Cleaning service in Port Mercer to do your carpet cleaning for you, we’ll look after every part of the carpet cleaning procedure, this means utalizing the carpet cleaners and truck mounted carpet cleaning equipment. Carpet Cleaning Trenton New Jersey Linoleum Floor Cleaning & Sealing Large expensive oriental carpets are often found on wall-to-wall carpet in homes and executive suites. Hard surfaced floors nearly always are covered with expensive area rugs. Here at DEEP IMPACT we take extra care when attending to your oriental rug cleaning with Pre-testing for dye stability. All rugs are treated with color brightener and coated with Sta-CleneВ® protector. Call business(804) 358-3811 © 2022 Crystal Carpet Cleaning.

  220. Rogerlom 11 مه 2022

    best medication for ed how to cure ed top ed pills

  222. Rogerlom 13 مه 2022

    ed pills that work medication for ed best non prescription ed pills

  232. NormanLerne 18 مه 2022

    best ed medication new ed drugs medication for ed

  235. Johnnyasync 20 مه 2022

    stromectol 12 mg tablets stromectol stromectol 12 mg tablets

  251. AustinNidix 23 مه 2022

    Consult the Blackjack charts at Blackjack-Chart.com for the type of Blackjack game you tend to play. Free blackjack Trainer by Bojoko is a perfect, free tool for both beginners and experienced blackjack players alike. This blackjack simulator makes learning the basics and honing your skills much easier and cheaper than going head-to-head with a real dealer unprepared. Blackjack unblocked is a good game to play at your school or workplace. If you are bored, give Blackjack unblocked a shot! You find everything on this list. From Blackjack Surrender to Lucky Sevens – you don’t need anything else to find the top free Blackjack games to play online. Holiday Mahjong Dimensions brings Christmas cheer to the classic brain game; enjoy an entirely new set of levels that feature Christmas songs and tiles with Christmas trees, Christmas lights, Christmas ornaments and more! Mahjong rules are quite simple – match any two tiles that are free and have the same symbol. A tile is considered \free\” and clickable only if it is uncovered and unblocked on its left and right sides. Just like Santa Claus https://landoglobalbusiness.com/community/profile/ygmmiles2472537/ Blackjack 21: Blackjackist The best way to learn this approach is to use a basic blackjack strategy chart. This shows you when you should hit, stand, or surrender. Easier group messaging was another advantage of smartphone messaging apps and also contributed to their adoption. Before the introduction of messaging apps, smartphone users could only participate in single-person interactions via mobile voice calls or SMS. With the introduction of messaging apps, the group chat functionality allows all the members to see an entire thread of everyone’s responses. Members can also respond directly to each other, rather than having to go through the member who started the group message, to relay the information. We know you’re going to LOVE 247 Blackjack so just give it a go! Have a great time using your skills and a little good luck to enjoy the best Blackjack game around!

  255. Michaelhop 26 مه 2022

    cost of viagra sildenafil 20 mg where to buy viagra online

  262. Homerdiugs 27 مه 2022

    cialis australia paypal tadalafil how to avoid cialis side effects

  263. Homerdiugs 28 مه 2022

    cialis generic name hvtsgeahdamoupBtjFlienr tadalafil cialis for sale in toronto

  264. chat 28 مه 2022

    That is really fascinating, You’re an excessively skilled blogger. I’ve joined your rss feed and look forward to in the hunt for extra of your magnificent post. Additionally, I’ve shared your website in my social networks!

  265. video 28 مه 2022

    Pretty impressive article. I just stumbled upon your site and wanted to say that I have really enjoyed reading your opinions. Any way I’ll be coming back and I hope you post again soon.

  266. video 29 مه 2022

    Lovely just what I was looking for. Thanks to the author for taking his clock time on this one.

  268. tube 29 مه 2022

    I think I will become a great follower.Just want to say your post is striking. The clarity in your post is simply striking and i can take for granted you are an expert on this subject.

  269. hot 29 مه 2022

    Enjoyed reading through this, very good material. Thanks!

  270. top 29 مه 2022

    Nice read, I just passed this onto a colleague who was doing some research on that. And he just bought me lunch as I found it for him smile Therefore let me rephrase that: Thank you for lunch!

  274. 네이버계정거래 30 مه 2022

    fantastic post, very informative. I wonder why more of the ther experts in the field do not break it down like this. You should continue your writing. I am confident, you have a great readers’ base already!

  284. StromiCows 5 ژوئن 2022

    [url=https://stromectolgf.com/#]buy stromectol pills[/url] cost of ivermectin 1% cream

  287. SlonVes 6 ژوئن 2022

    x4xv8

    zy7rh

    [url=http://novrazbb.com/#]xjb3[/url]

  288. StromiCows 6 ژوئن 2022

    [url=https://stromectolgf.online/#]ivermectin 3 mg tabs[/url] ivermectin price canada

  290. StromiCows 6 ژوئن 2022

    [url=https://stromectolgf.com/#]stromectol for sale[/url] ivermectin buy australia

  295. StromiCows 7 ژوئن 2022

    [url=https://stromectolgf.com/#]generic ivermectin[/url] generic ivermectin cream

  296. Anype 9 ژوئن 2022

    Easily get a price for your cleaning service with our no-fuss online booking system The Team At BCIC Did Such A Fantastic Job For My End Of Lease Clean. I Was Quoted $350 For A 2 Bedroom, 1 Bathroom House And The Whole Process Was Seamless And Easy To Organise. They Made My Move Much Less Stressful. All Staff Memebers I Talked To Were Extremely Polite And Helpful. I Would Not Hesitate To Recommend Them To Anyone Needing An End Of Lease Clean Without The Stress!!! Thank You Again!! Moving a new house or office or can be exhausting, especially if you have to clean the property as well. This additional burden can be lifted off with dedicated and professional cleaners from 365 cleaners. We simplify your end of lease phase cleaning requirement in Melbourne like a pro. Airbnb Cleaning Seattle WA Here’s a tip on what the host should have at the house. Extra clean sheets to keep the flow and the rotation going. I make really good money going around cleaning other people Airbnb. Join the community if you are a host looking for cleaning service or if you would like to provide a cleaning service… https://inspir-n-ation.co.uk/community/profile/ehgchante654208/ To estimate costs for your project: The cost of a house cleaner in top U.S. cities ranges from $15.25 to $19.50 per hour, according to current Care.com house cleaning rates. But the final price tag you pay can run the gamut based on the cleaner you hire and how long it will take to clean your home. Some factors that can make house cleaning prices go up or down include: Which type of personality does your child belong to? Various situations appear where a live-in housekeeper can be desirable. They can complete some of your housework and you will have less work to do yourself. If you have a little baby, or old parents in your home and both you and your partner have a job, then a live-in housekeeper can help you with relieving the pressure by doing the extra housework. You can check the pros and cons of a live-in housekeeper to see if you actually need one and you will also know how they can help you.

  303. hok 11 ژوئن 2022

    Caislean Nua, Golf Links Road, Castletroy, Co. Limerick Real estate apps are mobile applications aimed at making the process of property transactions easy. These apps are designed in a way that makes it easy for buyers, sellers, realtors, landlords, and investors to find each other quickly and conveniently. Marketing & Technology Solutions Real estate apps have faced accuracy issues from the start. One of the reasons real estate apps are so powerful and have overtaken older forms of property searching, such as newspapers and realtor-led home visits, is also the same reason the apps have fought accuracy challenges. Apps deliver exponentially more properties to buyers, renters, and investors because they scrape established databases on the internet for this information. If there is inaccurate information in one of those databases, it will translate that inaccuracy to the app as well. http://appliancetrouble.com/community/profile/alysachaves9639/ For prospective homebuyers and sellers right now, the same advice generally applies. Homeowners considering putting their houses on the market to cash in on their newfound equity shouldn’t be in a rush to do so. The housing market is unlikely to plummet to where it was pre-pandemic so the gains will still be there six months from now and likely far longer. Additionally, particularly for first-time homebuyers, throwing everything down on a mortgage can leave many owners without an emergency fund and depleted of the money needed to pay down other debts, prepare for unexpected repairs and maintenance, take advantage of other investment opportunities, or absorb sudden unappealable property tax increases (which happened to us twice in Philadelphia in two years adding more than $600 to our monthly mortgage payment).

  304. ThomasHab 11 ژوئن 2022

    [url=https://drwithoutdoctorprescription.online/#]canadian drugs online[/url] buy prescription drugs from canada

  306. RalphTip 11 ژوئن 2022

    order original cialis cialis pills

  307. ThomasHab 12 ژوئن 2022

    [url=https://drwithoutdoctorprescription.online/#]buy prescription drugs without doctor[/url] canadian pharmacy

  310. Teesy 14 ژوئن 2022

    Shall we be ruled by The Doge? Yes! 259 characters left People In US Can Now Buy Tickets Using These Cryptocurrencies READ: How to protect your Crypto assets from thefts, hacks and frauds The data on the price of Starbase (STAR) and other related information presented on this website is obtained automatically from open sources therefore we cannot warrant its accuracy. COINCOST is in no way related to the cryptocurrency Starbase, its developers and representatives. STAR has been listed on a number of crypto exchanges, unlike other main cryptocurrencies, it cannot be directly purchased with fiats money. However, You can still easily buy this coin by first buying USDT from any fiat-to-crypto exchanges and then transfer to the exchange that offers to trade this coin, in this guide article we will walk you through in detail the steps to buy STAR. https://lemonade-project.com/community/profile/eulaliamoreau3/ Tools & Resources XBT to AUD XBT to AUD Fifty bitcoin continued to enter circulation every block (created once every 10 minutes) until the first halving event took place in November 2012 (see below). Halvings refer to bitcoin’s issuance system, which was programmed into Bitcoin’s code by Satoshi Nakamoto. It essentially involves automatically halving the number of new BTC entering circulation every 210,000 blocks. XBT to AUD Each bitcoin is made up of 100 million satoshis (the smallest units of bitcoin), making individual bitcoin divisible up to eight decimal places. That means anyone can purchase a fraction of a bitcoin with as little as one U.S. dollar. XBT to GBP Fifty bitcoin continued to enter circulation every block (created once every 10 minutes) until the first halving event took place in November 2012 (see below). Halvings refer to bitcoin’s issuance system, which was programmed into Bitcoin’s code by Satoshi Nakamoto. It essentially involves automatically halving the number of new BTC entering circulation every 210,000 blocks.

  311. cialis 10mg online 14 ژوئن 2022

    zanaflex life changing [url=http://zanaflex.xyz/#]12 mg zanaflex [/url] zanaflex is it a controlled substance quizlet why is tizanidine (zanaflex) used for a patient with a primary spinal cord injury?

  313. Teesy 15 ژوئن 2022

    Ein Flixbus-Fahrer soll auf dem Weg nach Berlin auf seinem Handy gezockt haben. Das Video macht auf Facebook die Runde. Echtgeld Video – Poker auf dem iPad gibt es in einigen Varianten. Diese folgen im Grunde den Standard-Regeln des Spiels, aber jede Variante hat ihre eigenen Merkmale, spezifische Regeln und eine Pay-Tabelle. Im Folgenden sind die beliebtesten Echtgeld Video Poker Spiele für das iPad aufgeführt: Das Spiel Vip Video Poker beginnt damit, dass du einen oder mehrere Kredite als Wetteinsatz setzt, indem du Geld in die Maschine einzahlst und dann den Deal Knopf drückst, um Karten zu ziehen. Der Spieler wird dann die Möglichkeit gegeben, Karten zu ziehen oder seine Karten zu behalten. Nach dem Ziehen von Karten, berechnet die Maschine die Karte und bietet dir eine Auszahlung an, wenn deine Hand eine der gewinnenden Hände ist. https://rafaelfzoe198653.jts-blog.com/12803316/hotline-demo-slot Das Spiel „Rich Wilde and the Book of Dead“ von Play’n GO gehört zweifellos zu den besten Slots mit wenig Einsatz. Im Spiel begleitet ihr den virtuellen Casinohelden Rich Wilde in die Welt des alten Ägyptens. Ihr könnt mit bis zu 10 Gewinnlinien spielen und sowohl Münz-Einsatz als auch -Wert pro Spin bestimmen. Ideale Spiele für Neulinge im Casino oder aber für Spieleprofis, die nostalgische Casinoatmosphäre zu schätzen wissen und sich einfach einmal so richtig entspannen möchten. Willkommen bei Automatenspieler! Spiele die beliebtesten Spielautomaten, vergleiche die besten Online-Casinos und erhalte wertvolle Spieletipps in unserem Ratgeber. Bei den besten Spielautomaten achtet unsere Redaktion auf ganz bestimmte Kriterien, die das jeweilige Automatenspiel auszeichnen. Neben der Anzahl der Walzen, Gewinnlinien, den Grafiken und dem Spaßfaktor ist natürlich auch die durchschnittliche Auszahlungsquote, auch RTP genannt, ein sehr wichtiger Punkt.

  315. Lightyear Streaming 16 ژوئن 2022

    Your thing regarding creating will be practically nothing in short supply of awesome. This informative article is incredibly useful and contains offered myself a better solution to be able to my own issues. Which can be the specific purpose MY PARTNER AND I has been doing a search online. I am advocating this informative article with a good friend. I know they are going to get the write-up since beneficial as i would. Yet again many thanks.

  317. MichaelPsype 16 ژوئن 2022

    [url=https://sildenafilmg.shop/#]sildenafil[/url] cheap viagra online

  318. game bai 16 ژوئن 2022

    Good points – – it will make a difference with my parents.

  320. azithromycin 17 ژوئن 2022

    dapoxetine india online [url=https://priligy.site/#]priligy 60 mg australia [/url] dapoxetine and sildenafil tablets in india how to take dapoxetine 60 mg

  324. roasp 18 ژوئن 2022

    Am menționat deja că jocurile live  nu ar fi posibile fără prezența unui dealer live casino, dar rolul acestuia trebuie analizat mai îndeaproape, așa că vom dedica această secțiune responsabilităților pe care le are un dealer. Dacă ai vizitat cel puțin o dată un cazino din centrul orașului, cu siguranță ai observat crupierii de la fiecare masă de joc. Un live dealer online casino este corespondentul crupierului din cazinourile fizice și se regăsește la jocuri cu mese live pentru a se asigura că fiecare joc se desfășoară conform regulilor acestuia și pentru a adăuga un plus de interacțiune jocului. Se prea poate să preferi sloturi online cu fruits, așa cum sunt Super 20 Hot, Burning Hot sau Sizzling Hot ori să vrei să joci păcănele de aventură, precum Book of Ra, Kindgoms Rise sau Gonzo’s Quest. Unii jucători își îndreaptă atenția către sloturile fanteziste precum Lucky Lady’s Charm, în timp ce alții joacă acum Auto-Roulette, Speed Roulette sau Blackjack VIP sau Unlimited în secțiunile live ale platformelor de casino online. https://www.csequipmentsales.com/community/profile/alicaq375587506/ Unele persoane de pe forum casino online mai aleg cel mai bun cazino 2022 și prin prisma bonusurilor și promoțiilor oferite, deși nu este neapărat cea mai inspirată alegere. Dacă te afli-n această postură îți recomand Netbet Casino. Vei primi 40 de runde gratuite imediat după înregistrare și încă 60 de runde după verificarea contului. În plus ai bonusuri de până la 3.000 RON la primele 5 depuneri, dar și până la 300 de runde gratuite. Sloturile reprezinta cea mai populare categorie pe care o poti accesa pe un cazino online. Sunt sute, poate chiar mii de jocuri ca la pacanele, de la cei mai faimosi furnizori, cu cele mai diversificate tematici. Unul dintre cele mai importante aspecte este faptul ca miza minima este de regula sub 0.50 RON, deci te poti juca destul de mult pe bani reali, indiferent de bugetul alocat. Incearca sute de sloturi la cazinouri online de top precum Netbet, Vlad Cazino si Unibet.

  325. MichaelPsype 18 ژوئن 2022

    [url=https://sildenafilmg.com/#]viagra pills[/url] viagra price

  328. MichaelPsype 19 ژوئن 2022

    [url=https://sildenafilmg.shop/#]viagra shop[/url] buy viagra online usa

  332. fifa world cup 2022 live stream free 20 ژوئن 2022

    Nevertheless, it’s all carried out with tongues rooted solidly in cheeks, and everybody has got nothing but absolutely love for their friendly neighborhood scapegoat. In reality, he is not merely a pushover. He is simply that extraordinary breed of person solid enough to take all that good natured ribbing for what it really is.

  336. tizanidine 20 ژوئن 2022

    skelaxin vs zanaflex [url=https://zanaflex.xyz/#]zanaflex tablet [/url] will zanaflex show on a drug test what does zanaflex have in it?

  337. MichaelPsype 20 ژوئن 2022

    [url=https://sildenafilmg.com/#]viagra price[/url] best place to buy generic viagra online

  338. minions the rise of gru full movie online 20 ژوئن 2022

    Howdy! I simply wish to give a huge thumbs up for the great information you have here on this post. I will be coming again to your weblog for extra soon.

  339. roasp 21 ژوئن 2022

    888casino.com tarjoaa käyttöliittymää suomen kielellä mutta monet kohdat sivustosta ovat kuitenkin englanniksi. Tähän sisältyy myöskin itse asiakaspalvelu. Itse sivustolla asiakaspalvelu on käännetty yhteyshenkilöksi mikä osoittaa että käännöstyö on tehty vähän vasemmalla kädellä. Painamalla yhteyshenkilö nappia odotimme että saisimme jonkun oman yhteyshenkilön joka puhuu suomea ja meillä olisi ollut todella mahtava kokemus asiasta. Valitettavasti linkki ohjaa 888casino support centeriin joka on englanniksi ja siellä sitten pyydetään täyttelemään yhteydenottokaavaketta jotta saamme yhteyden johonkin sitten joskus. Game Shows -pelit  Talletus Kasinobonus 1 Euro – Online lähtö : Paras vaihtoehto suosittu jatkuva voitosta Kun online casinojen arvostelu tehdään kokeilemme myös talletuksen tekemistä ja bonuksen saamista ja myös tämä sujui erittäin hyvin Platinum Play Casinossa. Myös peliohjelma toimi erittäin hyvin, mikä ei ehkä ole niin yllättävää koska onhan kyseessä kuitenkin Microgaming casino, mutta haluamme kuitenkin mainita tämän. http://cooperate.gotssom.com/community/profile/edvchase8021310/ Vedonlyöjille WilliamHill on todella nopea, toimiva ja käytännöllinen sivusto parhailla kertoimilla ja palautusprosenteilla. Casino-ohjelma ei ole ehkä suomalaispelaajien mieleen, mutta valtavan suosittu maailmalla ja sitä kannattaa käydä ainakin vilkaisemassa. William Hill on Lontoon pörssiin listattu kasino, joka on toiminut alalla jo vuodesta 2002. Kasino tarjoaa turvallisen alustan ja laadukkaan pelivalikoiman. William Hill kuuluu Euroopan suurimpiin, suosituimpiin ja arvostetuimpiin vedonlyöntioperaattoreihin ja tarjoaa mittavalla sivustollaan myös laajan valikoiman kasinopelejä, livekasinon, pikavoittopelejä, bingoa ja pokeria. Legendaarinen William Hill on turvallinen ja reilu, kansainvälisen tyylikäs pelipaikka (kasinolla kielinä englanti, saksa, venäjä ja japani). Uudelle pelaajalle on tarjolla rehti aloitusbonus kohtuullisin ehdoin, ja asiakkaat pääsevät nauttimaan myös muista kampanjoista, tarjouksista ja turnauksista.

  340. bet awards 2020 live tv channel 21 ژوئن 2022

    of course like your web-site however you have to check the spelling on several of your posts. Many of them are rife with spelling problems and I find it very troublesome to tell the reality then again I will surely come back again.

  341. RaymondBoync 21 ژوئن 2022

    zithromax buy online zithromax 500

دیدگاهتان را بنویسید